Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.238368 0.279457 0.328103 0.390670 0.470076 0.568985 0.703932
2025-01-05 0.173218 0.221522 0.286054 0.381375 0.523775 0.738010 1.105400
2025-01-12 0.140448 0.191146 0.265182 0.387031 0.595643 0.968122 1.772748
2025-01-19 0.117213 0.166825 0.244174 0.382512 0.647090 1.195678 2.677658
2025-01-26 0.103306 0.152751 0.234346 0.391626 0.725610 1.530962 4.328424
2025-02-02 0.093716 0.143274 0.229293 0.406909 0.823991 1.998675 7.463499
2025-02-09 0.085494 0.134402 0.223003 0.417277 0.917249 2.555400 13.121890
2025-02-16 0.079085 0.127502 0.218722 0.430367 1.026164 3.313674 25.375254
2025-02-23 0.073190 0.120553 0.212845 0.437891 1.125539 4.208971 52.114754
2025-03-02 0.067841 0.113822 0.206082 0.441208 1.215892 5.262357 118.452762
2025-03-09 0.062796 0.106992 0.197882 0.438460 1.285766 6.397559 302.470466
2025-03-16 0.057951 0.099966 0.188109 0.428790 1.325542 7.481219 883.410886
2025-03-23 0.055113 0.096722 0.186498 0.442795 1.480374 10.220386 17981.636809
2025-03-30 0.051051 0.090536 0.177200 0.431545 1.517395 12.050945 NaN
2025-04-06 0.048434 0.087082 0.173851 0.438119 1.652029 16.177420 NaN
2025-04-13 0.045483 0.082606 0.167357 0.432768 1.722865 20.132503 NaN
2025-04-20 0.043595 0.080224 0.165705 0.443499 1.902580 29.037415 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042173 0.078709 0.166018 0.461536 2.157021 46.578222 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040614 0.076723 0.164801 0.473794 2.395547 74.713611 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039285 0.075123 0.164378 0.489297 2.692281 133.610871 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037823 0.073073 0.162429 0.498220 2.957003 241.712146 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036314 0.070778 0.159474 0.502157 3.191302 450.657172 NaN
2025-06-01 0.034711 0.068121 0.155145 0.498895 3.354266 820.175034 NaN